Posted by
Mr Boss on Wednesday, November 03, 2010 5:18:28 PM
Stocks in the United States showed little immediate reaction Wednesday to the Federal Reserve’s announcement that it would purchase an additional $600 billion in Treasury securities through June in an effort to drive down interest rates and stimulate the economy.
About 15 minutes after the Fed’s decision was announced, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 55 points, or 0.5 percent, after a brief upturn. The broader Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index was down 0.6 percent, as was the Nasdaq composite.
In the bond market, 10-year Treasury bills were higher before the Fed announcement, with the rate slipping to 2.54 percent from 2.59 percent late Tuesday.
For at least two months, investors had been pricing in their expectations that the Federal Reserve would embark on a second round of quantitative easing — measures beyond lowering its key interest rates, like purchasing vast amounts of securities, to stimulate the economy. That prospect has sent the stock market higher, driven gold prices up, and pushed the dollar and market interest rates lower.
Because official rates were already near zero, the Fed had been expected to buy United States Treasury securities, and perhaps other investments, to pump more money into the financial system. But Wednesday’s long-awaited statement finally provided some clarity, or some would say surprise, as to the outstanding questions of the extent of their purchases and the timing.
Estimates of the size of the program had ranged from $500 billion to $2 trillion, although as Wednesday drew closer, many analysts had settled their expectations around the lower end of that range. Some analysts expected the purchases to be spread out over months, with one scenario being $80 billion to $100 billion a month, with the assumption that the central bank would then assess whether the program was having the desired effect.
The new program had been dubbed “QE2” in market jargon because it was the Fed’s second round of quantitative easing. At the end of 2008, the Fed began a program to buy $1.7 trillion in Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, purchases which were announced in advance and came in the aftermath of the financial crisis.
In recent weeks Ben S. Bernanke, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, had hinted that the central bank was likely to act. The annual inflation rate is running below 2 percent, while unemployment remains stubbornly high. The dollar has been weakening against major currencies on the expectation of the Fed’s move.
Gold, already at a high above $1,300 an ounce, was expected to benefit even more if investors read an aggressive move by the Fed as a sign that inflation may eventually accelerate, said Jeffrey Nichols, senior economic adviser to Rosland Capital, in a recent speech preceding the announcement.
For Wall Street, the Fed announcement took center stage after midterm Congressional election results came in showed major gains for the Republican Party, an outcome that had been widely expected.
In Europe, the Euro Stoxx 50 index, a barometer of euro-zone blue chips, was up 0.11 percent, while the FTSE 100 index in London was 0.1 percent higher. The CAC 40 in Paris rose 0.25 percent, and the DAX in Frankfurt gained 0 No teletrack payday loans.12 percent.
The Hang Seng in Hong Kong led the advance in Asia with a 2 percent gain that took the index to its highest level since mid-2008, and the Australia benchmark S&P/ASX 200 index rose 0.5 percent. But the Shanghai composite lost 0.5 percent. Japanese markets were closed for a national holiday.
Though the outcome of Tuesday’s election was met with cheers on Wall Street, much of the result had already been priced into the stock market, analysts said. Still, with a slim Democrat majority in the Senate and the Republicans reclaiming the House, analysts expect a shift in the legislative agenda.
For one, further legislative efforts that might curtail banks were likely to be scaled back or stalled, analysts said in various research reports and notes to clients.
“There simply aren’t enough votes to further rein in Wall Street and the commercial banks,” a financial services policy analyst at MF Global, Jaret Seiberg, said. “At worst, the banks will get to enjoy gridlock. At best, there is an opening to start the process of deregulation that is a lot better than the environment.”
While rolling back big swaths of last year’s sweeping financial regulatory reform bill may be difficult, there may still be room for smaller tweaks that might loosen up some of the most stringent derivatives rules and other potential requirements.
The banking industry had spent heavily in the last year, directing a much bigger portion of their spending toward Republicans in the run-up to the election. More than 70 percent of campaign donations went toward Republican candidates in September, compared with 40 percent a year earlier, according to the Center for Responsive Politics, a nonpartisan research group.
The election also could curtail some of the anti-Wall Street rhetoric that was so prevalent during the recent campaign. Several of the financial industry’s most outspoken critics — including Senators Blanche Lincoln of Arkansas and Russ Feingold of Wisconsin — lost their re-election bids. “Blaming big Wall Street banks when you are running in the heartland proved not to be a winning strategy,” Mr. Seiberg said.
Pressing for substantial changes to the housing finance system may be more difficult, analysts said, even as foreclosure policy and the overhaul of the mortgage finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac moves to the top of the Congressional agenda. Another stimulus bill to give a jolt to the economy, or sharp increases in corporate taxes to narrow the budget gap also appear to be off the table.
But Robert C. Doll, a stock strategist for BlackRock, argued that “divided” government could pose challenges for a further recovery in the economy and markets. “If the current government is not able to come together and address the serious short- and long-term economic problems facing the country, these problems will almost certainly escalate,” he said in a research note on Wednesday.
Eric Dash contributed reporting.
Market Shows Muted Reaction to Fed Move